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Category: english

Experimenting with IBM Watson Personality Insights: How accurate is it?

Introduction I ran an analysis with IBM Watson Personality Insights. It retrieved my tweets and analyzed their text content to describe me as a person. Doing so is easy – try it here: https://personality-insights-livedemo.mybluemix.net/ I’ll briefly discuss the accuracy of the findings in this post. TL;DR: The accuracy of IBM Watson is a split decision – some classifications seem to…

How to teach machines common sense? Solutions for ambiguity problem in artificial intelligence

Introduction The ambiguity problem illustrated: User: “Siri, call me an ambulance!” Siri: “Okay, I will call you ‘an ambulance’.” You’ll never reach the hospital, and end up bleeding to death. Solutions Two potential solutions: A. machine builds general knowledge (“common sense”) B. machine identifies ambiguity & asks for clarification from humans The whole “common sense” problem can be solved by…

Affinity analysis in political social media marketing – the missing link

Introduction. Hm… I’ve figured out how to execute successful political marketing campaign on social media [1], but one link is missing still. Namely, applying affinity analysis (cf. market basket analysis). Discounting conversions. Now, you are supposed to measure “conversions” by some proxy – e.g., time spent on site, number of pages visited, email subscription. Determining which measurable action is the…

Total remarketing – the concept

Here’s a definition: Total remarketing is remarketing in all possible channels with all possible list combinations. Channels: Programmatic display networks (e.g., Adroll) Google (GDN, RLSA) Facebook (Website Custom Audience) Facebook (Video viewers / Engaged with ads) etc. How to apply: Test 2-3 different value propositions per group Prefer up-selling and cross-selling over discounts (the goal is to increase AOV, not…

In 2016, Facebook bypassed Google in ads. Here’s why.

Introduction The gone 2016 was the first year I thought Facebook ends up beating Google in the ad race, despite the fact Google still dominates in revenue ($67Bn vs. $17Bn in 2015). I’ll explain why. First, consider that Google’s growth is restricted by three things: natural demand keyword volumes, and approach of perfect market. More demand than supply First, at…

Buying and selling complement bundles: When individual selling maximizes profit

Introduction When we were young, me and my brother used to buy and sell game consoles on Huuto.net (local eBay) and on various gamer discussion forums (Konsolifin BBS, for example). We didn’t have much money, so this was a great way to earn some cash — plus it taught us some useful business lessons along the years. What we would…

Polling social media users to predict election outcomes

The 45th President of the USA Introduction The problem of predicting election outcomes with social media is that the data, such as likes, are aggregate, whereas the election system is not — apart from simple majority voting, in which you only have the classic representativeness problem that Gallup solved in 1936. To solve the aggregation problem, one needs to segment…